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Speculative investors have boosted 'long' exposure to the British

Pound by a further 58,063 contracts, according to 📈 positioning data from the CFTC.

The

latest weekly snapshot of FX investor positioning revealed the net GBP long position

rose to 📈 58,063 contracts, its highest since November 2007, in the week ended July

11.

This "equates to aR$4.7 billion bet on a 📈 stronger pound," according to Robert

Howard, a foreign exchange market analyst at Reuters.

"Sterling is currently all the

rage among dedicated 📈 followers of foreign exchange fashion, less than a year after the

disastrously received "autumn collection by Trussonomics" sent it to 📈 a historic low,"

he says.

The Pound-Dollar exchange rate last week reached its highest level in 14

months after peaking at 📈 1.31, the Pound-Euro exchange rate peaked at 1.1759.

Both

currency pairs have retraced somewhat with investors displaying caution ahead of the

📈 midweek release of UK inflation data, a pivotal reading that should determine the

likelihood of another 50 basis point rate 📈 hike at the Bank of England in August.

"This

was the largest, single currency positioning shift over the week. The improvement 📈 in

GBP sentiment takes bullish positioning among non-commercial traders to a new high,"

says Shaun Osborne, Chief FX Strategist at 📈 Scotiabank.

In mid-June, before the Bank of

England unveiled the first of its "summer season" rate rises, the net GBP long 📈 stood at

a relatively modest 6,735 contracts. The bet has steadily grown since the Bank of

England adopted a more 📈 assertive approach in fighting inflation by dropping 'dovish'

guidance and surprising with a 50 basis point hike in June.

"Further upside 📈 data

surprises have prompted a sharp re-pricing in GBP rates, as markets contemplate even

more restrictive policy settings as necessary; 📈 2y gilt yields have risen ~110bp since

the beginning of June. The GBP has risen in response," says Parisha Saimbi, 📈 G10 FX

Strategist at BNP Paribas in London.

Should UK inflation print in line with

expectations this week (8.1% year-on-year), or 📈 exceed expectations, UK bond yields will

likely firm as investors raise bets for a 50bp hike in August, in turn 📈 offering GBP

support.

"Sterling bulls hope the second hike offering from the BoE's summer

collection, due on Aug. 3, is as 📈 well-received by the FX market as the first," says

Howard.

The rise in the Pound-Dollar exchange rate was meanwhile largely a 📈 function of

Sterling outperformance in a widespread USD selloff linked to two key U.S. inflation

readings that revealed the U.S. 📈 is seeing disinflationary pressures take hold.

This

lowers the odds of future Federal Reserve rate hikes while also raising the odds 📈 of

cuts, in turn weighing on U.S. bond yields and boosting equity markets which are

textbook negatives for the USD.

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Um dos últimos confrontos do


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